About Wholesale Business Model:

searcher profile

December 13, 2023

by a searcher in Delaware, EE. UU.

CAUTION: It can be a working capital trap.

Since I have been a shareholder for 4 years with 33% equity in a company making 2.5MM a year wholesaling women's clothes, I will talk from experience.

The key is (mainly) in four variables:

i) the expiration date of the products, ii) the liquidation price and the channel for liquidation iii) the gross margin and iv) amount of different products and the entrance of new products.

This is the worst wholesale business you can imagine:

  1. Short expiration dates
  2. Impossible to liquidate products when the expiration date is coming and you haven't sold them yet.
  3. Tiny margins.
  4. You always need to be innovating and promoting new products.

It means that there is no margin error. You sell everything fast or you are losing money and you will be tempted to reinvest cash collected in new products to keep feeding the working capital. If your supplier gives you 60 to 90 days payment options you are trapped.

So, here is the best wholesale business:

  1. Long expiration dates (if any, more than 1 year)
  2. Channel for liquidation is available and the liquidation price still covers the cost of goods.
  3. Big gross margins.
  4. Little set of products (or just one) with stable demand.

Here it is how to analyze:

  1. From the total purchases in the last 12 months, how many of them are still in the inventory?

  2. Is the company liquidating products -i mean, doing liquidation offers-? If they are doing it, through which channels? - i don't like when liquidations are done through the same channel as the regular sales-.

  3. If they are doing liquidation, how much gross margin do they are losing? Here is the key, because, imagine, if they have 20% gross margin, and they are liquidating 20% of the total purchases at a given liquidation price, be careful, because you´re probably are not making money if depending on the liquidation price (and you are in the trap).

My advice, run from wholesale businesses that:

  1. They have high variability of product. Constantly introducing new products to customers.
  2. Short expiration dates.
  3. Liquidate through special offers to the same customers they do the regular sales.
  4. Low margins.

Of course, suppliers concentration, substitute product, structure cost and minimum sales and liquidation prices and amount to breakeven and other staffs also play a key role in order to analyze the competitive position of the company, but with the four variable i mention i think you will have a good framework to analyze a wholesale deal.

Hope it helps in your commercial due diligence.

2
8
153
Replies
8
commentor profile
Reply by a searcher
from ESSEC Business School in Torrance, CA, USA
Tony, what you experienced with this wholesale business seem to stem from limited industry experience. Most wholesale accounts that we work with, they have very faster turn around cycle. My hunch is that this business is far away from the sourcing (factories), so probably they are buying at high price and the turn-around time is very long. I never had any conversation on expiry date on inventory in last 12 years that I have been in this industry. I am happy to buy your 33% stake and provide those folks a more strategic support. I will dm you my details if you want to talk more on this
commentor profile
Reply by a searcher
from Texas A&M University in College Station-Bryan, TX, TX, USA
good reflections, i appreciate you sharing. My only wholesale experience is my wine distributorship. Some of the opposite reasons to your list above are ones they help us be viable. We keep the same product/line/brand year after year. One advantage/opportunity is that we are able to liquidate old stock from importers to retail, picking up margin as it is a "close out". Our gross is in mid 40% on most products, even with that you have to watch things closely. There is always some loss from samples, breakage/damage/last run of a vintage.
commentor profile
+6 more replies.
Join the discussion