Macro Level Thoughts

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by a searcher from The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill - Kenan-Flagler Business School
in Austin, TX, USA

1yr ago

Macro Level Thoughts

I'm just thinking out loud here:

As searchers, a lot of us look at LMM businesses with MM or public customers. You can see the uncertainty in the markets and economy right now by looking at all the red on trading screens. Uncertainty usually means avoiding large investments, which could translate to a slow year for most sectors.

Do we (searchers) want to buy a highly-levered business right now knowing that they will probably have a slow first year....or do we want to buy a solid business AFTER a slow year (due to systematic risks) from an exhausted owner at much better multiples and deal terms? I understand that most traditional searchers and independent sponsors with mandates might not have the luxury of hitting the pause button for 6-9 months. Or maybe they can with the right conversations with their investors.

What are your thoughts? I really want to hear perspectives from searchers, sponsors, and investors on this.

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reply by a searcher 1yr ago
from The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill in Austin, TX, USA

The last business we bought had a 70+ year old owner. Some owners might not have another 3+ years to buckle down and write the 3-year narrative of positive sales growth searchers typically look for.

reply by a searcher 1yr ago
from Western State University College of Law in Calcutta, OH 43920, USA

Many of the same sentiments were shared inredactedI know a lot of us followed the “buy when there is blood in the streets” philosophy and I have heard few regrets. Those regrets that I have heard has nothing to do with the “market risks” present at that time.